東南亞
離開東亞,我們準備要到台灣人熟悉的東南亞囉。東南亞有11個國家,國與國之間經濟發展差異極大。有人類發展指數極高的新加坡,有經濟正在成長的泰國和馬來西亞,但也有人均GDP不到2,000美元的緬甸、柬埔寨和東帝汶。
俄烏戰爭雖不直接與東南亞各國有關聯,但因戰爭和後疫情時代而起的通膨及糧食短缺卻造成區域不穩定。像新加坡或東帝汶這類微型國家高度仰賴糧食進口,便因為全球糧食保護主義興起,引發新加坡海南雞飯沒有雞的窘境。但同一時間,印尼和汶萊卻受惠於棕櫚油和石油價格上漲,在戰爭期間有不錯的利潤。
東南亞國協在2022年幾乎沒有重大舉措,派去緬甸調解政變的特使也沒捎來新消息。美國推出的IPEF期待為東南亞帶來新的活水,中國則持續推動他的一帶一路。柬埔寨裡頭那神秘的中國港口,或許會成為各界關注焦點。
Now we are heading south towards a region Taiwanese people can't be more familiar with: Southeast Asia.
There are 11 countries in Southeast Asia, and the economic development varies greatly among these countries. There is Singapore, which has a very high score on the Human Development Index; Thailand and Malaysia, where the economy is growing. But there are also Myanmar, Cambodia, and East Timor where the GDP per capita is less than US$2,000. In addition, the regimes of Southeast Asian countries take on different forms. Four countries are constitutional monarchies with the monarch as the head of state. Vietnam and Laos follow socialism and are ruled by a Communist Party; and two other countries are currently controlled by military governments. Violent conflict between countries is currently rare in this region. Instead, each nation has its own troubles in internal affairs, such as the coup in Myanmar or the call for reforms in the Thai royal family. To really name any regional conflicts involving multiple countries, they are probably water disputes in the Mekong basin and territorial disputes in the South China Sea.